Monday Nov 2 — first fires · zero fleet trades
Monday produced ZERO fleet trades. Two root causes, both fixed the same day:
(a) The quote leg was never live-capable — the paper account has no live market-data API subscription, so sleeves requesting live snapshots got empty quotes (IBKR error 10089). The fleet now prices on delayed data, stamped on receipts — live-verified: 118 quotes, 117 priced; the sole unpriced name was CBZ in Growers (no IBKR contract definition — a per-name gap, not the data wall).
(b) A same-second single-writer lease race refused Momentum, Snapback, Growers and Drop-Stabilization fail-closed. Timers are now staggered 90 seconds apart (09:30:45 to 09:38:15 ET) and the lease now waits up to 600 seconds.
The pre-open independent quality gate had found and fixed 10 defects in the six newer sleeves before the open.
AI01 / AI02 — their approval-binding refusals were diagnosed to Oct 31 divergences, re-bound, and both now pass would-run checks (AI01 45/45 files, AI02 16/16, LOCAL_CHECK_PASS, no orders). But their own quote leg still demands a live subscription and will refuse at the quote step — Rick’s open decision: enable the live API market-data subscription, or authorize the delayed-data change the rest of the fleet now uses.
Alert of the Day recorded “no pick — no coverage” by design (inbox held only the Oct 29 TradingView export).
Adopted paper-experiment slate · $250,000 envelope · Nov 16, 2026 – Feb 13, 2027
EXP-002 — READY
EXP-003 — READY
EXP-001 — NEEDS-DEFECT-FIX-FIRST
EXP-004 — NEEDS-DATA (accrual)
EXP-005 — NEEDS-DATA (accrual)
EXP-006 — NEEDS-DATA (accrual)
Accrual note: EXP-005 bars accrual is running — Nov 2 15:25 run clean, +486 bars, 3,996 bars total including seed. Trading experiments: $0 deployed, 0 running.
Forward-validating
CS-02
S1 — enrolled, simulation only
Predictions: 1 settled (0 met / 1 not met) · 22 open of 23 registered
Two new MU predictions registered — P-2026-022, P-2026-023